Madhya Pradesh crisis: Politics is about power perception, but it is also about hard numbers. We have examples in Indian political history where governments have fallen because of just one vote. The essentiality of numbers has resurfaced in the unfolding crisis in Madhya Pradesh. Congress was able to wrest power from BJP in Madhya Pradesh but now the tables seemed to have turned on Kamal Nath-led Congress government in Madhya Pradesh. But with Jyotiraditya Scindia leaving Congress and at least 22 Congress MLAs tendering resignations, a large chunk of Congress numbers is suddenly gone.
Congress does not have a majority in Madhya Pradesh Legislative Assembly. It formed a government with the support of other parties.
Here's how the numbers stack up
Madhya Pradesh assembly has 230 members.
Out of which,
Congress has (had?) 114 MLAs
BJP is a close second with 109 MLAs
Bahujan Samaj Party has 2 MLAs
Samajwadi Party has 1 MLA
There are 4 independent MLAs
Now, if resignations submitted by 22 Congress MLAs are accepted, the number required to form the government will fall from 115 to 104.
In such a scenario, it may prove to be a cakewalk for the BJP as it has 109 MLAs already.
For all its claims of remaining in power for 5 years, the Kamal Nath government looks set to topple.
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Watch | I am very happy and congratulate him. This is 'ghar vapasi', says Yashodhara Scindia, aunt of Jyotiraditya Scindia