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India TV-CVoter exit poll predicts hung assembly in UP

The crucial Uttar Pradesh election is going to throw up a hung assembly, with both BJP and SP-Congress combine locked in a close contest and the BSP coming third

India TV Politics Desk New Delhi Published : Mar 09, 2017 17:53 IST, Updated : Mar 09, 2017 21:52 IST
The projection range shows BJP getting 155-167 seats, the
Image Source : PTI The projection range shows BJP getting 155-167 seats, the SP-Cong 135-147

New Delhi, March 9 : The crucial Uttar Pradesh election is going to throw up a hung assembly, with both BJP and Samajwadi Party-Congress combine locked in a close contest and the Bahujan Samaj Party coming third, says the India TV-CVoter exit poll projections telecast on the channel tonight.

The projection range shows BJP getting 155 to 167 seats, while the Samajwadi Party-Congress alliance may get 135 to 147 seats, with BSP projected to come third within a range of 81 to 93 seats. 'Others' may get 8 to 20 seats, the magic mark for a majority being 202 in a House of 403.

India Tv - BJP in UP

BJP in UP

Vote share percentage wise, BJP is projected to get the highest 33.4 pc, followed by SP-Congress at 32.3 pc, BSP 24.3 pc and 'Others' 10 per cent.

The exit poll breaks up UP into six regions. Region-wise, the BJP may get 36-40 in Poorvanchal, 30-34 in Awadh, 35-39 in Upper Doab, 16-20 in Ruhelkhand, 25-29 in Lower Doab and 7-11 in Bundelkhand.

Region-wise, SP-Congress may get 31-35 seats in Awadh, 29-33 in Poorvanchal, 26-30 in Lower Doab, 24-28 in Ruhelkhand, 17-21 in Upper Doab and only 2-6 in Bundelkhand.

BSP is projected to get 27-31 seats in Poorvanchal, 24-28 in Avadh, 10-14 in Upper Doab, 6-10 in Ruhelkhand, and 4-8 each in Bundelkhand and Lower Doab.

In the 2012 UP assembly polls, SP-Congress had won 252 seats, while BSP had won 80 and BJP 47 seats. 'Others' had won 24 seats.

CVoter said, the exit poll was conducted on a sample size of 49,020 covering 402 seats with a margin of error of plus/minus 3 per cent. It was done in CATI mode.

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