New Delhi: With each passing day, dreaded militant group Islamic State is losing more territory in Iraq and Syria to US-led international coalition.
According to an analysis by British think-tank HIS, the jihadist group, which proclaimed its self-styled "caliphate" in the two countries in 2014, has lost another 12 percent of the territory it holds in Iraq and Syria in the first half of 2016.
"In 2015, the Islamic State's caliphate shrunk by 12,800 square kilometres to 78,000 square kilometres, a net loss of 14 per cent," the analysis, which was published today, said.
"In the first six months of 2016, that territory shrunk again by 12 per cent. As of July 4, 2016, the Islamic State controls roughly 68,300 square kilometres in Iraq and Syria," it added.
IHS senior analyst Columb Strack said that the losses were likely to mean that the ISIS would redouble its attempts at "mass casualty attacks".
"As the Islamic State's caliphate shrinks and it becomes increasingly clear that its governance project is failing, the group is reprioritising insurgency. We unfortunately expect an increase in mass casualty attacks and sabotage of economic infrastructure, across Iraq and Syria, and further afield, including Europe," he said.
The IHS report, which did not include percentages by country, said that in Syria, ISIS is under pressure from regime troops backed by Russian forces. In Iraq, the international coalition-backed security forces, working with pro-government militia groups, have dealt the jihadists a series of defeats.
ISIS forces are currently under siege in the Syrian town of Minbej, which lies on their main supply route between Syria and Turkey. In March, the jihadists were routed from the ancient Syrian city of Palmyra and in June from the Iraqi city of Fallujah. Last year, the group lost Tal Abyad, a key border post on the Syrian-Turkish border, as well as the Iraqi city of Ramadi.
In May, the Pentagon had announced that the Islamic State had lost some 45 percent of the territory it held in Iraq and between 16 and 20 percent of its territory in Syria.
ISIS has also seen its revenues drop, from around $80 million a month in mid-2015 to $56 million a month by March 2016, according to IHS.
"This figure has probably continued to decrease since March by at least another 35 percent," said Ludovico Carlino, another senior analyst at IHS.
"Combined with the military setbacks on the ground, this is having an impact on the internal cohesion of the group as indicated by a marked increase in defections and desertions since January," he added.
Facing territorial losses and pressure, ISIS on Wednesday issued a video describing the "organisation of the caliphate" in which it claimed control of 35 "wilayat" or provinces, including 19 in Syria and Iraq.
