Lok Sabha Elections 2024 Opinion Poll: NDA likely to win 393 seats, I.N.D.I.A bloc may not cross 100 mark

The BJP-led NDA is likely to win 393 seats and fall slightly short of achieving its objective to cross 400-mark in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections while Opposition's I.N.D.I.A bloc may get restricted below 100 seats, predicts India TV-CNX opinion poll.

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, the BJP is likely to win 25 seats in the Purvanchal region of Uttar Pradesh, while its ally Apna Dal may get 2 seats and Akhilesh Yadav's Samajwadi Party may also bag 2 seats.

The region has a total of 29 Lok Sabha seats. 

In the Awadh region of Uttar Pradesh, the BJP is predicted to win all the 14 seats while I.N.D.I.A bloc members including Samajwadi Party and Congress may not be able to open their accounts. 

In central Uttar Pradesh, the BJP is predicted to win 11 seats while Akhilesh Yadav's Samajwadi Party may get 2 seats. The region has a total of 13 seats.

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, the BJP with alliance partner RLD may clean sweep in the Rohilkhand region in Uttar Pradesh. BJP may win 11 seats, RLD one while Samajwadi Party may not be able to open its account.

Rohilkhand has a total of 12 Lok Sabha seats. 

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, the BJP-led NDA is likely to sweep all the 8 seats in western Uttar Pradesh. The Samajwadi Party, Congress -- members of the I.N.D.I.A bloc -- may not be able to open their accounts. 

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, the BJP may get 7 seats in Magadh-Bhojpur region, allies JDU and HAM to get one seat each while RJD and allies may also win one seat each. 

India TV-CNX opinion poll predicts that the BJP may win just one seat in the Seemanchal region in Bihar, alliance partner JD(U) is likely to get 3 seats, Congress and RJD may bag 2 and 1 seat.

The region has a total of 7 Lok Sabha seats.

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, BJP-JD(U) is likely to clean sweep Mithilanchal region in Bihar. The region has a total of 9 seats out of which BJP may win 4 while alliance partners JDU and LJP (Ram Vilas Paswan) may win 3 and 2 seats. 

Lalu Prasad's RJD and Congress may not be able to open their accounts in this region, the survey predicts.

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, BJP-led NDA may win 10 seats in North Bihar while Lalu Prasad's RJD is likely to get 2. The state has a total of 40 Lok Sabha seats.

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, BJP is likely to win both North Goa and South Goa Lok Sabha constituencies in Goa. 

BJP is likely to win 29 seats in Maharashtra and allies Shiv Sena (Shinde) and NCP (Ajit) may get 7 and 3 seats respectively, as per India TV-CNX Opinion Poll. Congress is likely to win 1 seat in Maharashtra, allies Shiv Sena (UBT) and NCP (Sharad) may get 6 and 2 seats respectively, predicts India TV-CNX Opinion Poll.

Phase 4 | May 13 | States/UTs: 10 | Constituencies: 96

• Andhra Pradesh: 25 | Araku, Srikakulam, Vizianagaram, Visakhapatnam, Anakapalle, Kakinada, Amalapuram, Rajahmundry, Narsapuram, Eluru, Machilipatnam, Vijayawada , Guntur, Narasaraopet, Bapatla, Ongole, Nandyal, Kurnool, Anantapur, Hindupur, Kadapa, Nellore, Tirupati, Rajampet, Chittoor
• Telangana: 17 | Adilabad, Peddapalle, Karimnagar, Nizamabad, Zahirabad, Medak, Malkajgiri, Secunderabad, Hyderabad, Chevella, Mahbubnagar, Nagarkurnool, Nalgonda
• Bhongir, Warangal, Mahabubabad, Khammam
• Uttar Pradesh: 13 | Shahjahanpur, Kheri, Dhaurahra, Sitapur, Hardoi, Misrikh, Unnao, Farrukhabad, Etawah, Kannauj, Kanpur, Akbarpur, Bahraich 
• Maharashtra: 11 | Nandurbar, Jalgaon, Raver, Jalna, Aurangabad, Maval, Pune, Shirur, Ahmednagar, Shirdi, Beed
• Madhya Pradesh: 08 | Dewas, Ujjain, Mandsour, Ratlam, Dhar, Indore, Khargone, Khandwa
• West Bengal: 08 | Baharampur, Krishnanagar, Ranaghat, Bardhaman Purba , Bardhaman - Durgapur, Asansol, Bolpur, Birbhum 
• Bihar: 05 | Darbhanga, Ujiarpur, Samastipur, Begusarai, Munger
• Jharkhand: 04 | Singhbhum, Khunti, Lohardaga, Palamu
• Odisha: 04 | Kalahandi, Nabarangpur, Berhampur, Koraput
• Jammu and Kashmir: 01 | Srinagar

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, the BJP may win a total of 23 seats in West Bengal, while Mamata Banerjee's Trinamool Congress (TMC) is likely to get 19 seats. The Congress and CPI may not be able to their accounts.

In 2019 elections, the BJP had won 18 and TMC secured 22.

West Bengal has a total of 42 Lok Sabha seats.

In Jharkhand, which has a total of 14 Lok Sabha seats, the BJP may take the lead in the state and win 12 seats, JMM and AJSU are likely to get one seat each while Congress may not be able to open its account, according to India TV-CNX opinion poll.

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, the BJP may win 11 seats in Assam while Congress, UPPL and AIUDF may get 1 seat each.

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, the BJP is likely to win all 3 three seats in Jammu and Ladakh while Farooq Abdullah's National Conference may win all the seats in Kashmir.

BJP is predicted to win all four Lok Sabha seats in Himachal Pradesh, this time too, while the Congress may fail to open its account as a result of infighting in the party.

In Haryana which has a total of 10 Lok Sabha seats, the saffron party may not be able to clean sweep the state this time, though it will be able to maintain the lead. The party can get 8 seats but may lose 2 to Congress. 

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, the BJP may win Amritsar, Ludhiana and Gurdaspur in Punjab, the Congress may get Jalandhar, Akali in Bathinda and remaining 8 seats are likely to be bagged by the Aam Aadmi Party. 

In Punjab, which has a total of 13 Lok Sabha seats, the BJP may get 3, the ruling Aam Aadmi Party is likely to get 8, while Congress and Akali Dal may have to be satisfied with just one seat each. 

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, the AAP-Congress alliance may not be able to challenge the BJP as the saffron party is predicted to win all the seven seats in the national capital. 

The BJP may win all the 26 Lok Sabha seats in Gujarat once again while chances are very unlikely for the Congress party to open its account in the home state of Prime Minister Narendra Modi.

The Bharatiya Janata Party is likely to clean sweep Rajasthan once again and win all the 25 seats in the state while the Congress may have to face disappointment this time too in the Hindi-heartland.

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, the BJP may clean sweep Chhattisgarh and win all the 11 Lok Sabha seats in the state while the Congress may fail to open its account. 

In comparison to 2019, the BJP may secure two more seats as last time it won 9 seats.

Phase 3 | May 7 | States/UTs 12 | Constituencies 94 

• Gujarat: 26 | Kachchh, Banaskantha, Patan, Mahesana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Ahmedabad East, Ahmedabad West, Surendranagar, Rajkot, Porbandar, Jamnagar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Anand, Bharuch, Bardoli, Surat, Navsari, Valsad, Kheda, Panchmahal, Dahod, Vadodara, Chhota Udaipur
• Karnataka: 14 | Chikkodi, Belgaum, Bagalkot, Bijapur, Gulbarga, Raichur, Bidar, Koppal, Bellary, Haveri, Dharwad, Uttara Kannada, Davanagere, Shimoga
• Maharashtra: 11 | Raigad, Baramati, Osmanabad, Latur, Solapur, Madha, Sangli, Satara, Ratnagiri - Sindhudurg, Kolhapur, Hatkanangle
• Uttar Pradesh: 10 |  Sambhal, Hathras, Agra, Fatehpur Sikri, Firozabad, Mainpuri, Etah, Badaun, Aonla, Bareilly 
• Madhya Pradesh: 08 |  Morena, Bhind, Gwalior, Guna, Sagar, Vidisha, Bhopal, Rajgarh
• Maharashtra: 11 | Raigad, Baramati, Osmanabad, Latur, Solapur, Madha, Sangli, Satara, Ratnagiri - Sindhudurg, Kolhapur, Hatkanangle
• Chhattisgarh: 07 | Surguja, Raigarh, Janjgir-Champa, Korba, Bilaspur, Durg, Raipur
• Bihar: 05 | Jhanjharpur, Supaul, Araria, Madhepura, Khagaria
• Assam: 04 | Kokrajhar, Dhubri, Barpeta, Guwahati
• West Bengal: 04 | Maldaha Uttar, Maldaha Dakshin, Jangipur, Murshidabad
• Dadra and Nagar Haveli and Daman and Diu: 02 | Daman and Diu, Dadra and Nagar Haveli
• Goa: 02 | North Goa, South Goa 
• Jammu and Kashmir: 01 | Anantnag-Rajouri

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, in Madhya Pradesh, which has a total of 29 Lok Sabha seats, the BJP is likely to win 28 of them while the Congress may get just one seat.

The survey predicts that Congress leader and former CM Kamal Nath's son Nakul may lose in Chhindwara while the BJP may lose the Mandla (ST) seat to the 'Grand Old Party'.

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, the BJP may win up to 10 seats in Odisha while the ruling BJD-led by Naveen Patnaik is likely to get 11 seats. The state has a total of 21 seats. 

The BJP may win 21 seats in Karnataka, Congress is likely to secure 5, JDS(NDA member) may get 2, according to India TV-CNX opinion poll.

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, the BJP may get 3 seats in Andhra Pradesh, YSRCP is likely to win 10, Chandrababu Naidu's (NDA member) may get 12 while Congress may not be able to open its account.

Phase 2 | April 26 | States/UTs: 13 | Constituencies: 89

• Kerala: 20 | Kasaragod (GEN), Kannur (GEN), Vadakara (GEN), Wayanad (GEN), Kozhikode (GEN), Malappuram (GEN), Ponnani (GEN), Palakkad (GEN), Alathur (SC), Thrissur (GEN), Chalakudy (GEN), Ernakulam (GEN), Idukki (GEN), Kottayam (GEN), Alappuzha (GEN), Mavelikkara (GEN), Pathanamthitta (GEN), Kollam (GEN), Attingal (GEN) and Thiruvananthapuram (GEN)
• Karnataka: 14 | Bangalore Central, Bangalore North, Bangalore Rural, Bangalore South, Chamarajanagar, Chikkballapur, Chitradurga, Dakshina Kannada, Hassan, Kolar,, Mandya, Mysore, Tumkur, Udupi Chikmagalur
• Rajasthan: 13 | Ajmer, Banswara, Barmer, Bhilwara, Chittorgarh, Jalore, Jhalawar-Baran, Jodhpur, Kota, Pali, Rajsamand, Tonk-Sawai Madhopur, Udaipur
• Maharashtra: 08 | Bhiwandi, Chandrapur, Kalyan, Maval, Nandurbar, Palghar, Raigad, Sangli, Satara, Yavatmal-Washim
• Uttar Pradesh: 08 | Basti, Dhaurahra, Domariyaganj, Kheri, Maharajganj, Misrikh, Sant Kabir Nagar, Sitapur
• Madhya Pradesh: 07 | Bhind, Dewas, Mandla, Mandsour, Rajgarh, Ratlam, Ujjain
• Assam: 05 | Barpeta, , Dibrugarh, Gauhati, Kaliabor, Kokrajhar
• Bihar: 05 | Araria, Arrah, Buxar, Jamui, Valmiki Nagar
• Chhattisgarh: 03 | Kanker, Mahasamund, Rajnandgaon
• West Bengal: 03 | Baharampur, Birbhum, Bolpur
• Jammu and Kashmir: 01 | Udhampur 
• Manipur: 01 | Manipur outer, Manipur inner
• Tripura: 01 | Tripura East

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, in Telangana, the Congress may win up to 8 seats, BJP is likely to secure 6, KCR's BRS may bag 2 seats while Asaduddin Owaisi's AIMIM can get one seat.

In Kerala, the Bharatiya Janata Party is likely to open its account with 3 seats while Congress-led UDF may win 11, according to India TV-CNX Opinion Poll.

The Left Democratic Front (LDF) can win 6 seats in Kerala, the survey predicts.

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, the NDA may improve its performance in the southern state of Tamil Nadu and may win around six seats in the forthcoming polls. The ruling DMK is likely to secure 17. 

Congress may win 8 seats in Tamil Nadu, AIADMK can get 4 seats while BJP alone may fetch up to 4 seats. 

Phase 1 | April 19 | States/UTs 21 | Constituencies 102

• Tamil Nadu: 39 | Kancheepuram (2019 Result: DMK), Arakkonam (2019 Result: DMK), Thiruvallur (2019 Result: Congress), Chennai North (2019 Result: DMK), Chennai South (2019 Result: DMK), Chennai Central (2019 Result: DMK), Vellore (2019 Result: DMK), Tiruvannamalai (2019 Result: DMK), Dharmapuri (2019 Result: DMK), Krishnagiri (2019 Result: Congress), Sriperumbudur (2019 Result: DMK), Viluppuram (2019 Result: DMK), Coimbatore (2019 Result: CPM), Nilgiris (2019 Result: DMK), Erode (2019 Result: DMK), Tiruppur (2019 Result: CPI), Namakkal (2019 Result: DMK), Salem (2019 Result: DMK), Arani (2019 Result: Congress), Kallakurichi (2019 Result: DMK), Kanyakumari (2019 Result: Congress), Thoothukkudi (2019 Result: DMK), Virudhunagar (2019 Result: Congress), Tenkasi (2019 Result: DMK), Ramanathapuram (2019 Result: IUML), Theni (2019 Result: AIADMK), Thanjavur (2019 Result: DMK), Sivaganga (2019 Result: Congress), Madurai (2019 Result: CPM), Tirunelveli (2019 Result: DMK), Pollachi (2019 Result: DMK), Karur (2019 Result: Congress), Dindigul (2019 Result: DMK), Perambalur (2019 Result: DMK), Cuddalore (2019 Result: DMK), Tiruchirappalli (2019 Result: Congress), Chidambaram (2019 Result: VCK), Nagapattinam (2019 Result: CPI) and Mayiladuthurai (2019 Result: DMK)
• Rajasthan: 12 | Sikar (2019 Result: BJP), Churu (2019 Result: BJP), Jhunjhunu (2019 Result: BJP), Bikaner (2019 Result: BJP), Ganganagar (2019 Result: BJP), Jaipur (2019 Result: BJP), Jaipur Rural (2019 Result: BJP), Alwar (2019 Result: BJP), Dausa (2019 Result: BJP), Nagaur (2019 Result: RLP), Karauli-Dholpur (2019 Result: BJP) and Bharatpur (2019 Result: BJP)
• Uttar Pradesh: 08 | Saharanpur (2019 Result: BSP), Kairana (2019 Result: BJP), Muzaffarnagar (2019 Result: BJP), Bijnor (2019 Result: BSP), Nagina (2019 Result: BSP), Moradabad (2019 Result: SP), Rampur (2019 Result: SP) and Pilibhit (2019 Result: BJP)
• Madhya Pradesh: 06 | Sidhi (2019 Result: BJP), Shahdol (2019 Result: BJP), Jabalpur (2019 Result: BJP), Mandla (2019 Result: BJP), Balaghat (2019 Result: BJP) and Chhindwara (2019 Result: Congress)
• Uttarakhand: 05 | Tehri Garhwal (2019 Result: BJP), Almora (2019 Result: BJP), Nainital-Udhamsingh Nagar (2019 Result: BJP), Haridwar (2019 Result: BJP), Garhwal (2019 Result: BJP)
• Maharashtra: 05 | Ramtek (2019 Result: Shiv Sena), Nagpur (2019 Result: BJP), Bhandara-Gondiya (2019 Result: BJP), Gadchiroli-Chimur (2019 Result: BJP) and Chandrapur (2019 Result: Congress)
• Assam: 05 | Sonitpur (2019 Result in Tezpur: BJP), Kaziranga (2019 Result in Kaliabor: Congress), Dibrugarh (2019 Result: BJP), Lakhimpur (2019 Result: BJP) and Jorhat (2019 Result: BJP)
• Bihar: 04 | Jamui (2019 Result: LJP), Gaya (2019 Result: JDU), Nawada (2019 Result: LJP) and Aurangabad (2019 Result: BJP)
• West Bengal: 03 | Coochbehar (2019 Result: BJP), Jalpaiguri (2019 Result: BJP) and Alipurduars (2019 Result: BJP)
• Arunachal Pradesh: 02 | Arunachal East (2019 Result: BJP), Arunachal West (2019 Result: BJP)
• Meghalaya: 02 | Tura (2019 Result: NPP) and Shillong (2019 Result: Congress)
• Manipur: 02 | Outer Manipur (2019 Result: NPF) and Inner Manipur (2019 Result: BJP)
• Puducherry: 01 | Puducherry (2019 Result Congress)
• Andaman and Nicobar Islands: 01 | Andaman and Nicobar (2019 Result Congress)
• Chhattisgarh: 01 | Bastar (2019 Result: Congress)
• Jammu and Kashmir: 01 | Udhampur (2019 Result: BJP)
• Lakshadweep: 01 | Lakshadweep (2019 Result: NCP)
• Mizoram: 01 | Mizoram (2019 Result: MNF)
• Nagaland: 01 | Nagaland (2019 Result: NDPP)
• Sikkim: 01 | Sikkim (2019 Result: SKM)
• Tripura: 01 | Tripura West (2019 Result: BJP)

In the upcoming elections, PM Modi-led NDA is envisioning to cross the 400-plus seats mark while I.N.D.I.A bloc led by a united opposition has taken a resolve to stop the saffron camp.

Lok Sabha elections 2024 will be held in seven phases starting from April 19, second phase on April 26, third on May 7, fourth on May 13, fifth on May 20, sixth on May 26 and seventh and last phase on June 1. The counting of votes is set for June 4.