India TV-CNX Opinion Poll: NDA expected to cross 300-mark once again, I.N.D.I.A. bloc to remain distant second

A look at party-wise seat prediction if Lok Sabha elections are held today, according to India TV-CNX opinion poll.

If Lok Sabha elections are held today, then the NDA is expected to easily cross the magic number mark and win around 315 seats to form the government at the Centre once again. The newly-formed I.N.D.I.A. bloc may get restricted to 172 seats while 56 seats are likely to be won by other political parties, according to India TV-CNX opinion poll.

In Union Territories with 6 Lok Sabha seats, the BJP is likely to win 4 seats and Congress may get two, according to India TV-CNX opinion poll.

In UP's Purvanchal region which has a total of 29 seats, the BJP is expected to win 26 seats, SP may get 1, Apna Dal is likely to win two seats while BSP and Congress once again may not be able to open their accounts, according to India TV-CNX opinion poll.

In the Awadh region of Uttar Pradesh, which has a total of 14 Lok Sabha seats, the saffron party is projected to win 12, Congress may get two seats while SP and BSP may not be able to open their accounts.

BJP is expected to make a clean sweep in Uttar Pradesh's Bundelkhand region as the saffron party may win all four Lok Sabha seats. The SP, BSP and Congress may not be able to open their accounts, according to India TV-CNX opinion poll.

In Central UP which has a total of 13 Lok Sabha seats, the BJP may win around 11 seats, SP is likely to get two seats while BSP and Congress once again may not be able to open their accounts, according to India TV-CNX opinion poll.

In Uttar Pradesh's Rohilkhand region which has a total of 12 seats, the BJP is expected to win 11, SP just one while BSP and Congress may not be able to open their accounts, according to India TV-CNX opinion poll.

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, the BJP is expected to remain ahead with a whopping 51 per cent vote share, the Samajwadi Party (SP) may get 25 per cent of votes, Mayawati's Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) is likely to 11 per cent votes, Congress may get 4 per cent while others are likely to get 9 per cent of votes in Uttar Pradesh. 

The state has a total of 80 Lok Sabha seats.

Overall in Bihar which has a total of 40 Lok Sabha seats, the BJP is expected to remain ahead with 20 seats, JD(U) and RJD may get 7 seats each, LJP (R) is likely to get 3 seats, Congress may win two seats and RLJP may have to satisfy with just one seat, according to India TV-CNX opinion poll.

In Bihar's Seemanchal region, the BJP and RJD may win 2 seats each, JD(U), Congress, LJP (R) may get one seat each while RLJP is not likely to open its account. 

In the Mithilanchal region in Bihar, the BJP is likely to remain ahead with 6 seats, RJD may win 2, JD(U) just one seat while Congress, LJP(R) and RLJP may not be able to open their account, according to India TV-CNX opinion poll.

Speaking about Magadh and Bhojpur regions in Bihar, the BJP is expected to win 5 seats, JD(U) may win 4 whereas RJD, Congress, LJP(R) may win one seat each while RLJP may not be able to open its account.

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, the BJP is likely to win 7 seats in North Bihar, RJD may win 2, JD(U) and RLJP may have to satisfy with just one seat while Congress may not be able to open its account.

In Bihar, the BJP is expected to get 35 per cent of the votes, RJD may get 19 per cent, JD(U) 17 per cent, Congress 8 per cent, LJP (R) 7 per cent, and others may get 14 per cent vote share, according to India TV-CNX opinion poll if Lok Sabha elections are held today.

According to the India TV-CNX Opinion Poll, the Bharatiya Janata Party is expected to get 50% of votes in Haryana, while Congress is likely to get 35% of votes. The poll prediction also shows 8 Lok Sabha seats for BJP in the state, while two for Congress. 

According to the India TV-CNX Opinion Poll, the BJP is expected to get 53% of votes in Himachal Pradesh, while the Congress is likely to get 37% of votes. The poll also predicts 3 Lok Sabha seats for BJP in Himachal Pradesh, while Congress may have to settle with just one seat. 

According to the India TV-CNX Opinion Poll, the BJP is expected to get 18% of votes in Punjab, Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) and Congress are likely to get 28% and 25% of votes respectively. Shiromani Akali Dal led by Sukhbir Singh Badal is expected to get 19% of votes in Punjab. The poll predicts 6 Lok Sabha seats for AAP in Punjab, and Congress is likely to get 5 seats. Meanwhile, the BJP and Shiromani Akali Dal are likely to get only 1 Lok Sabha seat each in the state. 

According to the India TV-CNX Opinion Poll, the BJP is expected to get 52% of votes in Delhi, while Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) and Congress are likely to get 25% and 17% of votes respectively. As per the projection, the BJP is likely to win all 7 Lok Sabha seats again in Delhi.

According to the India TV-CNX Opinion Poll, BJP is expected to get 53% of votes in Jharkhand, while Congress is likely to get 17% of votes. Hemant Soren-led Jharkhand Mukti Morcha (JMM) to get just 13% of votes in the state. The poll also predicts 12 Lok Sabha seats for BJP in Jharkhand, 1 each for AJSU and JMM.

According to the India TV-CNX Opinion Poll, the BJP is expected to get 56% of votes in Goa, while Congress is likely to get 35% of votes. The saffron party is also expected to win both Lok Sabha seats in the state. 

According to India TV-CNX Opinion Poll, the BJP is expected to get 32% of votes in Maharashtra, alliance partners Shiv Sena of Eknath Shinde and NCP (Ajit Pawar) to get 10% and 5% of votes respectively. The BJP-led alliance is expected to get 47% of votes in the state. Meanwhile, the Congress-led alliance is expected to get 42% of votes in Maharashtra. As per the opinion polls, the BJP is expected to get 22 seats in Maharashtra, while Congress is likely to get 9 seats. The prediction further shows that Eknath Shinde-led Shiv Sena to get 4 seats, while Uddhav Thackeray-led Sena is likely to get 8 seats. Further, there seats likely to be bagged by Sharad Pawar-led NCP, and Ajit Pawar-led NCP may get 2 seats in the state. 

According to the India TV-CNX Opinion Poll, the BJP is expected to get 50% of votes in Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh, while Congress is likely to get 10% of votes. As far as regional parties are concerned, Omar Abdullah's National Conference (JKNC) is expected to get 17% of votes, while Mehbooba Mufti's PDP is likely to get just 4% of votes. Ghulam Nabi Azad-led Democratic Progressive Azad Party (DPAP) is expected to get 7% of votes in Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh.

India TV-CNX Opinion Poll predicts 3 Lok Sabha seats for BJP in Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh.  National Conference is likely to get 2 seats, while Ghulam Nabi Azad-led Democratic Progressive Azad Party (DPAP) is expected to win 1 seat. 

According to the India TV-CNX opinion poll, the BJP is expected to get 59% of votes in Uttarakhand, while Congress is likely to get 39% of votes. The prediction also shows that the saffron party is likely to sweep all five seats in the state, if elections are held today. 

The BJP is expected to get 61 per cent of votes in Gujarat while the Congress may secure 28 per cent vote share, according to the India TV-CNX opinion poll. The survey further predicts Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) to get just 8% of votes in the state. As per the survey, the saffron party is expected to sweep Gujarat by winning all 26 seats in the state.  

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, the BJP is expected to get 41 per cent of votes in Odisha, the Biju Janata Dal (BJD) is likely to get 45 per cent and Congress may get around 11 per cent vote share, if Lok Sabha elections are held today.

In terms of seats, the survey predicts 8 Lok Sabha seats for the saffron party and 13 for Naveen Patnaik's BJD.

In West Bengal, which has 42 Lok Sabha seats, the BJP is expected to win 10 seats whereas Mamata's Trinamool Congress is likely to get 30 seats.

In terms of vote share, the saffron party may get 36 per cent of votes and Trinamool Congress is expected to bag 48 per cent.

Meanwhile, the Left Front is expected to get 6 per cent of votes and Congress about 7 per cent.

Compared to 2019 results, the BJP may lose 8 seats while TMC is likely to gain 8 more if predictions match election results when they are held next year.

The BJP is expected to get 49 per cent of votes in Rajasthan while the Congress may secure 41 per cent vote share, according to India TV-CNX opinion poll.

The survey further predicts that the saffron party may win 23 lok sabha seats in the state and Congress is likely to get 2.

Compared to 2019, the BJP is likely to lose one seat and the grand old party may gain 2 if the prediction matches results when general elections are held in the country.

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, the BJP is expected to get 48 per cent vote share in Madhya Pradesh whereas the Congress may get 41 per cent votes.

The survey further predicts that the saffron party may win 25 lok sabha seats while Congress may win 4.

Comparing to 2019 results, the BJP may lose 3 seats and Congress could gain 3 if these projections match the results whenever elections are held.

In Chhattisgarh, the BJP is expected to get 46 per cent of votes and the Congress may secure 43 per cent, according to India TV-CNX opinion poll.

In terms of seat projection, then the BJP may win 7 lok sabha seats while Congress is likely to get 4.

Comparing it with 2019 results, the BJP may lose 2 seats in Chhattisgarh whereas Congress is likely to gain 2.

India TV-CNX opinion poll predicts that the DMK is expected to get 31 per cent votes in Tamil Nadu while AIADMK may get 25 per cent.

The Congress is likely to get 11 per cent votes and BJP may only secure 7 per cent.

The survey predicts that the DMK is expected to become the single largest party in Tamil Nadu and may win 21 seats whereas AIADMK may get 6 seats.

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, the BJP is expected to get 44 per cent votes in Karnataka while Congress may get 40 per cent, and JDS likely to get 11 per cent.

In terms of seats, then the BJP may win 16, Congress likely to get 10 while JDS may win 2.

Comparing it with 2019 results, the BJP may lose 9 Lok Sabha seats in Karnataka while Congress may gain 9 if elections are held today.

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, BJP-led NDA is likely to win 8 seats in other Northeastern states including Manipur, Sikkim, Meghalaya, Mizoram, Tripura, Nagaland and Arunachal Pradesh, whereas the Congress may win 3.

In Assam, the BJP is likely to get 42 per cent votes in Assam. In terms of seat projection, then the saffron party is likely to win 12 Lok Sabha seats while Congress may get one.

Out of 20 Lok Sabha seats in Kerala, the Congress-led UDF may win 16 while LDF is expected to get 4 seats. Comparing it with 2019 results, then the Congress-led UDF is set to lose 3 Lok Sabha seats whereas LDF is likely to gain 3, according to India TV-CNX opinion poll.

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, the LDF is likely to get 39 per cent votes in Kerala while Congress-led UDF is expected to get 47 per cent vote share. The BJP-led NDA may get 13 per cent of votes but may not be able to win even a single seat.

India TV-CNX opinion poll predicts 15 lok sabha seats for YSRCP in Andhra Pradesh, Chandrababu Naidu's TDP to get 10. Both BJP and Congress are expected to score a duck in the state.

Comparing it with 2019 elections, then the YSRCP may lose 7 Lok Sabha seats while TDP is likely to gain 7 more in 2024.

In 2019, YSRCP won 22 Lok Sabha seats including Araku, Vizianagaram, Visakhapatnam, Anakapalli, Kakinada, Amalapuram, Rajahmundry, Narasapuram, Eluru, Machilipatnam, Narasaraopet, Bapatala, Ongole, Nandyal, Kurnool, Anantapur, Hindupur, Kadapa, Nellore, Tirupati, Rajampet and Chittoor.

In Andhra Pradesh, Jagan Mohan Reddy-led YSRCP is likely to get 46 per cent of votes, TDP is expected to get 42 per cent while Congress and BJP may get only 3 per cent and 2 per cent votes.

BJP had won four Lok Sabha seats in 2019 including Secunderabad, Adilabad, Nizamabad and Karimnagar.

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, BRS is likely to get 40 per cent votes in Telangana, BJP is expected to get 28% while Congress may secure third spot with 23 per cent votes.

In terms of seats, BJP is expected to win 6 seats, Congress 2 while KCR's BRS is likely to lose one seat.

Telangana has a total of 17 Lok Sabha seats.

India TV-CNX opinion poll was conducted between September 20 and October 3. A total of 54,250 people gave their opinion during the survey out of whom 28,309 respondents were men and 25,941 women. The survey was held in 310 Lok Sabha constituencies.