Exit Poll 2024: Congress to form govt in Haryana, edge to NC-Cong in J-K, predicts Axis My India

According to the Axis My India exit poll, Congress is set to form the government in the state with 59 seats. Meanwhile, the BJP is projected to get 23 seats and others are likely to get 8 out of 90 Assembly seats in the state. 

According to the Axis My India exit poll, Congress is projected to win 9 out of the 12 Assembly seats in Faridabad, while the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is expected to secure only 3 seats. 

According to the Axis My India exit poll, both the Congress and Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) are likely to secure 5 seats each in the Gurugram Lok Sabha constituency. Meanwhile, one seat is expected to go to others. 

Former Haryana chief minister Bhupinder Singh Hooda today said his party is going to form the government with a comfortable majority and reiterated that the decision on CM's face will be taken by the high command on the opinion of the Congress MLAs. He made these remarks after the polling ended and several exit polls predicted the Congress' victory in the Haryana polls. "We are forming the government with a comfortable majority," the 77-year-old Hooda told reporters at his Rohtak residence.

According to data from Axis My India, 67 per cent of the Jat community in Haryana voted for the Congress, while the Bharatiya Janata Party managed to secure only 11 per cent of the Jat vote.

According to data from Axis My India, the Congress is likely to gain a significant lead over its main rival, the Bharatiya Janata Party in Haryana's rural areas. The exit poll predicts that Congress could secure 45% of the vote share, while BJP may receive 33%. 

According to data from Axis My India, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is expected to secure 40% of the vote share in Haryana's urban areas, while the Congress is likely to receive 38%.

JK People's Conference: 02JK People's Conference: 02As per the prediction by Axis My India exit poll, Jammu and Kashmir is heading towards a hung assembly. Out of 90 Assembly seats, the NC-Congress alliance is likely to get 40 seats, while the BJP is expected to get 29 seats.

Party-wise seats in J-K

NC-Congress: 40
BJP: 29
PDP: 05
Independent: 07
Awami Ittehad Party: 05
JK People's Conference: 02
Apni Party: 01
Others: 21

The Axis My India exit poll predicts that the Bharatiya Janata Party is likely to secure 29 seats in the Jammu region, while the Congress-National Conference (NC) alliance is projected to win 19 seats. Meanwhile, others are likely to get six seats. 

According to the Axis My India exit poll, the Congress-National Conference (NC) alliance is projected to win only 3 seats in the Jammu Lok Sabha constituency. 

The Axis My India exit poll forecasts that the Bharatiya Janata Party may win 14 out of 18 seats within the Jammu Lok Sabha constituency.

Rashid Engineer-led Awami Ittehad Party (AIP) is projected to get 14 per cent of the vote share in the Kashmir region, as per Axix My India Exit Poll. 

According to the Axis My India exit poll, the National Conference-Congress alliance is likely to secure a 41% vote share in the Kashmir region. Meanwhile, the PDP is likely to get 18 per cent of the vote share in this region. 

According to the Axis-My India exit poll, a majority of the Muslim votes in the Jammu region have gone to the Congress-National Conference (NC) alliance.

The Axis My India exit poll indicates that the Bharatiya Janata Party is likely to secure 71 per cent of the Brahmins vote share in the Jammu region.

The Axis My India exit poll indicates that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is likely to secure 43 per cent of the Dalit vote share in the Jammu region. Meanwhile, Congress and others are expected to get 34 per cent of Dalit vote share in the region. 

The Axis My India exit poll suggests that the Congress-National Conference (NC) alliance is likely to receive 34% of the vote share in the Jammu region. This positions the alliance as a significant competitor against the BJP, which is predicted to lead the region.

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According to the Axis My India exit poll, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is likely to secure a 44% vote share in the Jammu region. Meanwhile, the Congress party is likely to get a mere 10 per cent of the vote share in this region. 

In the Assembly elections 2024, the National Conference (NC) and Congress have joined forces by forming an alliance, while the People's Democratic Party (PDP) and Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) contested independently as key contenders in the race. 

The voting for the Haryana assembly in 2019 took place on October 21. The results were announced on October 24. The BJP formed a post-poll alliance with JJP and even other independent MLAs to form the government. In 2019, the BJP under Manohar Lal Khattar emerged as the single largest party but fell short of a majority. It won only 40 seats. Subsequently, it forged a post-poll alliance with Dushyant Chautala's JJP, which got 10 seats and seven other independent MLAs. INLD got only 1 seat while Congress managed to win 31 seats. 

In the 2014 assembly elections, polling was held on October 15, 2014, to elect 90 representatives. The results were announced on October 19 with the BJP winning absolute majority. A total of 1,351 candidates contested the Haryana assembly elections in 2014. Among 1,351 candidates 1,235 were male while 116 were female. No candidates from the third gender contested polls in 2014. Haryana assembly elections in 2014 came in the wake of the dominant victory of Prime Minister Narendra Modi in the Lok Sabha elections. The strong mandate of the Modi government was reflected in many states when the BJP won them back-to-back. Haryana was one among them. The BJP which had only 4 seats before 2014, clinched 47 seats in the elections and formed the government under new face Manohar Lal Khattar.

The Election Commission of India said on Thursday in a press statement that an overall 63.88 per cent voter turnout was recorded in the Assembly elections in the Union Territory of Jammu and Kashmir. The poll panel said that a voter turn of 69.69 per cent was recorded in the third phase held on October 1. Phase-1 and Phase-2 saw polling percentages of 61.38 per cent and 57.31 per cent, respectively.

Exit polls are important for several reasons. Firstly, they provide an early indication of election results before the official count is completed. Media outlets use this information to inform their audience about potential outcomes, generating significant public interest. Additionally, exit polls can also influence stock markets as well as the political discourse in the country. It is important to interpret Exit Polls with caution, as they can be affected by sampling errors, biases, and differences in voter demographics. While they provide useful insights and help set expectations, they should not be viewed as definitive predictors of election outcomes.

Exit polls are quick surveys conducted immediately after people vote, in an attempt to gauge the sentiments of voters following the exercise of their right to vote. Unlike regular opinion polls done before elections, exit polls ask voters who they actually voted for, making them more accurate. They typically start being released right after voting ends on final election day and are conducted by interviewing voters as they leave polling stations. In India, exit polls were almost developed indigenously by the pioneering Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) in Delhi during the 1960s.