Cyclone Tej: Very severe cyclonic storm likely to further intensify today, says IMD

The depression over the Bay of Bengal may become a low-intensity cyclonic storm by October 24, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Sunday. The depression lies centred around 610 km south of Odisha's Paradip, the IMD said in a bulletin. "The system is likely to further intensify into a deep depression over the next 24 hours. It will move northwestwards in the subsequent 12 hours and then move towards the Bangladesh-West Bengal coasts in the following three days," it added. "Though there is a possibility of the formation of a cyclonic storm, it is likely to be a very weak system. It will have a marginal impact on Odisha, bringing in light to moderate rain. The system at the sea will be around 200 km from the state's coast," weather scientist Umashankar Dash of the Regional Meteorological Centre told media.

ESCS “Tej” lay centered at 1730 hrs IST of 22 Oct SW Arabian Sea about 90 km north-northeast of Socotra (Yemen), 410 km south of Salalah (Oman) and 390 km SE of Al Ghaidah (Yemen). Very likely to move NW and cross Yemen coast close to Al Ghaidah (Yemen) around  24 Oct as VSCS

As one cyclone is moving ahead in Arabian Sea, another is yet to be formed in the central Bay of Bengal. Currently, depression formed over the west-central Bay of Bengal is likely to move northwestwards during the subsequent 3 days.

The brewing cyclone in Arabian sea is rarely going to impact Gujarat's coastal area. The weather in the state is likely to remain dry, said IMD.

ESCS “Tej” lay centered at 1130 hrs IST of 22 Oct SW Arabian Sea about 130 km east of Socotra (Yemen), 500 km S-SE of Salalah (Oman) and 500 km SE of Al Ghaidah (Yemen). Very likely to move NW and cross Yemen coast close to Al Ghaidah (Yemen) around early hours of 24 October as VSCS. 

Dr Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, Director General, IMD, said, "A depression has been formed in the Bay of Bengal. The depression will intensify into a deep depression and by tomorrow it may intensify further and become a cyclone storm...between 23-25th October, in Coastal Odisha and West Bengal, light to moderate rainfall is expected...sea condition is very rough...it is not safe for the fishermen and ships so we are continuously issuing warnings, fishermen are not supposed to go to sea and those who're in the sea must come back immediately". 

"A depression has been formed in the Bay of Bengal...The depression will intensify into a deep depression and by tomorrow it may intensify further and become a cyclone storm...between 23-25th October, in Coastal Odisha and West Bengal, light to moderate rainfall is expected...sea condition is very rough...it is not safe for the fishermen and ships so we are continuously issuing warnings, fishermen are not supposed to go to sea and those who're in the sea must come back immediately," said Dr Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, Director General, IMD.

Boats docked after distant cautionary signal number 1 updated in 9 ports, due to a depression formed over west-central Bay of Bengal in Nagapattinam, Tamil Nadu

"D WC BoB moved W-NW in the past 6 hours at 0830 hours IST of 22nd Oct, about 590 km S of Paradip, 740 km S of Digha, and 880 km S-SW of Khepupara (Bangladesh). Likely to move NW & intensify into DD in next 12 hours recurve and move N-NE in 3 days towards Bangladesh and  WB coasts," tweeted IMD on X.

VSCS Tej over WC & SW AS intensified to ESCS moved NW at 0830 hrs IST of 22 Oct about 160 km E-SE of Socotra (Yemen), 540 km S-SE of Salalah (Oman) & 550 km SE of Al Ghaidah (Yemen).  Likely to move NW and cross coasts between Al Ghaidah & Salalah around noon of 24 Oct as a VSCS, said the IMD officials.

"The Cyclonic Storm (TEJ) over Southwest Arabian Sea moved further west-northwestward, intensified into a Severe Cyclonic Storm (SCS) and now lies cent red around Latitude 11.0 °N & Longitude 57.0 °E at a distance of about 1880km southwest of Karachi," said Pakistan Meteorological Department.

It is predicted to intensify into a severe cyclonic storm on Sunday and move towards the south coasts of Oman and adjoining Yemen, according to the IMD.

Cyclonic Tej is likely to make landfall between Al Ghaidah (Yemen) and Salalah (Oman) around early morning on October 25.

Meteorologists caution that at times, storms may deviate from the predicted route and intensity, as seen in the case of earlier Cyclone Biparjoy which formed in the Arabian Sea in June and initially moved in a north-northwest direction before changing course to make landfall between Sindh and Gujarat coast in Pakistan and India, as per ARY News. As per reports, weather models indicate the storm is heading for the Yemen-Oman coast.

Cyclone Tej It is likely to further intensify into a deep depression during the next 24 hours, said IMD officials on Sunday.