Madhya Pradesh Opinion Poll: BJP likely to retain state with 119 seats and 46% votes

Who is the preferred choice for Chief Minister in Madhya Pradesh? 

• Shivraj Singh Chouhan: 43%
• Kamal Nath: 40%
• Jyoitiraditya Scindia: 11%
• Digvijaya Singh: 1%

Overall in Madhya Pradesh, the India TV-CNX opinion poll predicts that the BJP is likely to win 119 seats and retain power in the state. The Congress on the other hand may win around 107 seats.

In terms of vote share, the BJP is likely to get 46 per cent and Congress could get 43 per cent of votes.

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, the BJP is expected to dominate in the Bundelkhand and Baghelkhand regions in Madhya and may win 29 seats. The Congress is expected to win 21 seats while one seat may be won by others.

These regions together has a total of 51  seats.

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, a neck-and-neck contest is expected to take place in the Nimar region. The BJP is likely to win 12 seats while Congress may get 15. The region has a total of 28 Assembly seats.

In the Malwa region, the BJP is expected to win 28 seats while Congress is likely to bag 18. Madhya Pradesh's Malwa region has a total of 46 Assembly seats.

Whose guarantee do people trust most in Madhya Pradesh? 

• BJP: 47%
• Congress: 41%
• Others: 9%
• Can't Say: 3%

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, Congress is likely going to dominate in the Mahakaushal region and may win 26 seats while the BJP is expected to win 19 seats.

Mahakaushal has a total of 47 Assembly seats.

In the Chambal region, the Congress is likely to win 19 seats while the BJP may improve its tally from previous election and win upto 15 seats. There are 34 Assembly seats in Madhya Pradesh's Chambal region.

The Congress is likely to lose 7 seats in this region whereas the saffron party is predicted to gain 8 seats.

According to India TV-CNX Opinion Poll, BJP may lead in Madhya Pradesh's Bhopal region and is likely to win 16 seats. The Congress party is expected to win 8 seats.

There are a total of 24 Assembly seats in Madhya Pradesh's Bhopal region.

Madhya Pradesh Assembly Election Results 2018: Total Seats: 230 (Majority: 116)

Vote Share:

• Congress: 40.89%
• BJP: 41.02%
• BSP: 5.01%
• SP: 1.30%
• Independents: 5.82%

Seat Tally:

• Congress: 114
• BJP: 109 
• BSP: 02
• SP: 01
• Independents: 04

A look at Congress seats in the last four Assembly elections in Madhya Pradesh:

• 2018: 114
• 2013: 58
• 2008: 71
• 2003: 38

A look at BJP seats in the last four Assembly elections in Madhya Pradesh:

• 2018: 109
• 2013: 165
• 2008: 143
• 2003: 173