Karnataka Lok Sabha Election 2024 Exit Poll Results: Karnataka is one such states where there was a direct fight between two national parties - Congress and Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). Accordingn to the India TV- CNX's exit poll predicted that BJP is likely to win 18-22 seats. Congress is likely to win 4-8 seats. The third player JD-S is likely to win 1- seats in the Lok Sabha elections.
In the 2019 Lok Sabha polls, the BJP had swept the state in the last two Lok Sabha elections by winning 27 seats in 2019 and 17 in 2014. The state has a total of 28 Lok Sabha constituencies which went to vote in two phases. In the first phase of polling in the 14 seats include Chikkodi, Belgaum, Bagalkot, Bijapur, Gulbarga, Raichur, Bidar, Koppal, Bellary, Haveri, Dharwad, Uttara Kannada, Davangere and Shimoga voted on April 26 and rest 14 seats underwent on May 7. Koppal, Haveri, Dharwad, Uttara Kannada, Bijapur, Bagalkot, Bidar, Kalaburagi, Raichur, Bellary, Chikkodi, Belgaum, Shivamogga and Davanagere voted on May 7.
What are exit polls?
Exit polls are a tool to decode voters' sentiment and their verdict. Exit polls are a reliable mechanism to predict the results of the election or the final result is to use the election exit polls. The agencies gather information from voters at outside polling booths in various constituencies and areas for the exit polls. Various media outlets also conduct opinion polls or surveys before to elections.
However, there is difference between exit poll and opinion surveys. While exit polls are conducted after voting, opinion surverys are conducted prior to voting. Exit polls are basically post-election surveys, are used to predict the probable results of the elections. Before the actual vote counting, the exit polls aim for redicting results based on the responses from voters.
What is the process to conduct exit polls?
The media outlets and agencies take random sample techniques to conduct post poll surveys. However, some organisations also choose to ascertain the conclusion through systematic sampling. Agencies gather replies from voters from various age groups, genders, castes, and geographical areas who they supported in the elections.