The ruling BJP in Gujarat is projected to get a clear majority in the state assembly polls, voting for which ended this evening, says the exit poll conducted by India TV-VMR (Votersmood Research).
The opinion poll projects BJP to win 113 out of a total of 182 assembly seats, while the main rival Congress is projected to win 66 seats, with three remaining seats going to 'Others'. 'Others' include Bhartiya Tribal Party (a Congress ally) and two independents.
BJP is expected to get seats within a range of 108-118, while Congress is expected to get seats within a range of 61-71, says the IndiaTV-VMR exit poll. CLICK HERE FOR LIVE UPDATES
Vote percentagewise, BJP is projected to get 48 per cent, Congress 41 per cent and 'Others' 11 per cent, according to the exit poll.
In the 2012 Gujarat assembly elections, the BJP had won 116 seats, the Congress 60 and 'Others' six seats.
According to Votersmood Research (VMR), the agency that conducted the exit poll, a total of 6,000 interviews were conducted in 792 polling booths across all four socio-economic regions of Gujarat.
The eligible voters covering all age groups, gender and rural-urban divide were interviewed. The exit poll was conducted in the first and second phases of polling, and an error margin of plus/minus 3 per cent has been kept.
Regionwise, the BJP is projected to win 33 seats (30-36 range) in North Gujarat, 28 seats (25-31 range) in Kutch-Saurashtra, 25 seats (23-27 range) in Central Gujarat, and 27 seats (24-30 range) in South Gujarat, making a total of 113 seats, says the opinion poll.
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The Congress is projected to win 26 seats (23-29 range) in Kutch-Saurashtra, 19 seats (17-21 range) in North Gujarat, 14 seats (12-16 range) in Central Gujarat, and only 7 seats (6-8 range) in South Gujarat, making it a total of 66 seats. 'Others' are projected to win one seat each in South Gujarat, North Gujarat and Central Gujarat.
Voteshare wise, the BJP is projected to get 50 per in South Gujarat, 47 pc in Central Gujarat, 48 pc in North Gujarat and 46 pc in Kutch-Saurashtra.
The main rival Congress is projected to get 45 pc in Kutch-Saurashtra, 41 pc in North Gujarat, 40 pc in Central Gujarat and 38 pc in South Gujarat.
The Congress is projected to get a whopping eight per cent positive swing in Kutch-Saurashtra, a 1 pc each positive swing in North and South Gujarat, while the BJP is projected to suffer 2 per cent negative swing each in North Gujarat and South Gujarat, and one pc positive swing each in Central Gujarat and Kutch-Saurashtra.
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