5. READING THE TEJAY LEAVES -- Tejay Van Garderen, who took home the white jersey as the Tour's best young rider in his debut last year, predicts a shake-up Saturday during the 195-kilometer (121-mile) stretch from Castres to Ax 3 Domaines, the first of two stages being held in the Pyrenees. The 24-year-old American says it "depends if people want to hold their cards close to their chests or if they want to come out swinging on the first mountain day. I expect for them to come out swinging -- so there should probably be some big gaps."