South Africa has the chance to visit an unfamiliar place if it beats New Zealand: The top half of the World Cup table.
It won't be easy. Unbeaten New Zealand has an even bigger incentive in their game on Wednesday at Birmingham's raucous Edgbaston ground. A win will move the Black Caps back to the very top of the 10-team standings.
New Zealand knocked South Africa out of the last two World Cups — the quarterfinals in Dhaka in 2011 and a classic ODI semifinal in Auckland in 2015 where Grant Elliott hit a six off the penultimate ball.
"There's always been exciting games between New Zealand and South Africa over the past World Cups," New Zealand seamer Trent Boult said Tuesday. "The 2015 semifinal at Eden Park was one of the greatest games the Kiwis have played."
This World Cup has been a struggle for South Africa, not just on the field. Star seamer Dale Steyn was injured and replaced without bowling a ball, and Hashim Amla and valuable quick Lungi Ngidi have also been hurt and sidelined.
Ngidi injured his left hamstring in the second match, and missed the loss to India, the washout with West Indies, and South Africa's first win last Saturday against Afghanistan.
He's been passed fit, and is keen to get at New Zealand's lineup.
"I don't think their middle and lower order have been tested enough," he says.
Ngidi hoped to be part of a fearsome pace attack, but in the absence of Steyn and Anrich Nortje, who was injured before the tournament, veteran spinner Imran Tahir has been the leading wicket-taker with 8.
Andile Phehlukwayo and Chris Morris, Nortje's replacement, have 6 each, and main striker bowler Kagiso Rabada 5. Ngidi took his only three in the tournament-opening, 104-run loss to England.
If the wicket is spin-friendly, Tahir ought to be a match-changer for South Africa, though its own batsmen have themselves struggled against spin.
While South Africa has three points from five games, New Zealand is in a position of strength with seven points from four games which have varied dramatically.
New Zealand has crushed Sri Lanka, squeaked past Bangladesh, thrashed Afghanistan, and been washed out against India. The players have embraced an 11-day gap between games.
Pacer Lockie Ferguson is in strike mode with 3-22, 1-40 and 4-37 so far, and fast-medium Matt Henry opened with 3-29 and 4-47. The seamer attack includes second-ranked ODI bowler Boult, who said he was not expecting much help from the wicket which looks "pretty light."
Asked if he was worried about his own performance with only three wickets so far, Boult said he was focusing more on the 30 wickets his team has taken. New Zealand has dismissed every side so far, though India would have been a far tougher test.
Reflecting on the Eden Park classic, Boult said "I remember hoping like heck that I don't have to bat."
The 25th game of this World Cup is Edgbaston's first. The popular venue, where the lively atmosphere often reaches soccer-style levels, hosts five games in total, including the second semifinal on July 11.
Despite the losses, South Africa wicketkeeper-batsman Quinton de Kock said he was enjoying himself more in 2019, compared to 2015, but knew what was ahead.
"Tomorrow (Wednesday) is a quarterfinal, I guess you could say it, but if we do win it, it's another big game again," de Kock said. "We have to win all the games, not just focus on tomorrow."
De Kock, who shared a first-wicket stand of 104 with Amla against Afghanistan, said he doubted the Kiwis would be over-confident.
"I know them pretty well, a lot of the players. They're pretty mild people. They're very athletic people."
