BJP may fall short of majority in Jharkhand, PDP single largest party in J&K, projects India TV-CVoter poll

New Delhi: The Bharatiya Janata Party may fall short of majority in the Jharkhand assembly polls, with the party projected to win within a range of 29-35 seats out of a total of 81, says an India TV-CVoter tracking poll telecast this evening.In the crucial state of Jammu and Kashmir, the opposition People's Democratic Party is projected to emerge as the single largest party with a seat range of 27-33 seats in a House of 87. The BJP may emerge second largest party with a seat range of 23-29, says the tracking poll.The current opinion poll is based on interviews of 4322 randomly respondents in the first week of November. Long term trends are based upon the cumulative tracking poll data of 12,000+ respondents interviewed during last 12 weeks across all assembly segments in both the poll bound states. The data have been weighted to known census profile and the margin of error is plus/minus 3 pc at state level and plus/minus 5 pc at regional level.In Jharkhand, the India TV-CVoter tracking poll predicts 29-35 seats for BJP, 17-23 seats for Jharkhand Mukti Morcha, 6-12 seats for Jharkhand Vikas Morcha, 7-13 seats for Congress and 7-13 seats for 'Others' in a house of 81.In 2009, the JMM and BJP had won 18 seats each, Congress had won 14, JVM had won 11 and 'Others' 20 seats.Voting percentage wise, the tracking poll predicts a 12 pc swing in favour of BJP, which is projected to get 32 pc votes, followed by JMM 19 pc, Congress 13 pc, JVM 12 pc and 'Others' 24 pc. In Jammu and Kashmir, the opposition Mehbooba Mufti-led People's Democratic Party is projected to get 27-33 seats, followed by BJP with 23-29, National Conference 10-16, Congress 6-12, and 'Others' 6-12 seats in a House of 87.In the 2009 elections, National Conference had won 28, Congress 17, PDP 21, BJP 11 and 'Others' 10 seats.Voting percentage wise, a whopping 22 pc swing has been projected in favour of BJP up from 12 pc in 2009 to 34 pc this time, while a 10 pc swing has been projected in favour of PDP up from 15 pc last time to 25 pc now.National Conference has been projected to get 11 pc votes, Congress 15 pc and 'Others' 15 pc votes.Asked who was the best candidate to become CM in J&K, PDP leader Mufti Mohammed Sayeed was the frontrunner with 53 pc favouring him in the valley, 20 pc in Jammu and 10 pc in Ladakh region.Eleven pc supported his daughter Mehbooba Mufti in the valley, 3 pc in Jammu and 17 pc in Ladakh region. Chief Minister Omar Abdullah was favoured by 11 pc in valley, 3 pc in Jammu and 16 pc in Ladakh region.In Jharkhand, Chief Minister Hemant Soren was the frontrunner with 14 pc non-tribals and 30 pc tribals supporting him, followed by JVM chief Babulal Marandi who was favoured by 20 pc non-tribals and 22 pc tribals. 15 pc non-tribals and 3 pc tribals favoured BJP leader Yashwant Sinha, while 9 pc non-tribals and 6 pc tribals favoured BJP leader Arjun Munda.