India TV-C Voter projection: Big gains for BJP in UP, Bihar; NDA may be 45 short of magic mark

New Delhi, Feb 13: The BJP-led National Democratic Alliance is projected to win 227 seats in the forthcoming Lok Sabha elections, 45 short of the magic mark of 272 in a House of 543. The Congress-led United Progressive Alliance is projected to win 101 seats, says India TV-C Voter survey on State of The Nation conducted this month. The survey was telecast on India TV tonight at prime time.Narendra Modi-led Bharatiya Janata Party is projected to raise its tally from 116 seats in 2009 to 202, while the Congress tally is expected to drop steeply from 206 in 2009 polls to 89 this time, says the survey. NDA's projected tally shows the following break-up, according to the survey: BJP 202, Shiv Sena 15, Akali Dal 5, RPI(Athawale) 2, Swabhimani Paksha 1, NPP 1, Haryana Janhit Congress 1, Total 227. UPA's projected tally shows this break-up: Congress 89, NCP 5, RLD 1, JMM 2, IUML 2, National Conference 1, Kerala Congress(Mani) 1. Total 101.Others (parties which are either part of Third Front or outside and independents) are projected to get 215 seats, with the AIADMK taking the lion's share of 27 seats. The break-up for Others: Aam Aadmi Party 7, Samajwadi Party 20 (down from 23), Left Front 27, AIADMK 27, BSP 21, Trinamool Congress 24 (up from 19), RJD 12 ( up from 4), Biju Janata Dal 12 (down from 14), YSR Congress 13, Telangana Rashtra Samiti 10 (up from 2), Janata Dal-United 5 (down from 20), Telugu Desam Party 10 (up from 6), DMK 5 (down from 18), Jharkhand Vikas Morcha 2, Janata Dal-S 2, Asom Gana Parishad 0, Maharashtra Navnirman Sena 1, Indian National Lok Dal 1, LJP 1, MDMK 1, PDP 2, AUDF 1, Bodoland People's front 1, Nationalist People's Front 1, Sikkim Democratic Front 1, Majlis Ittehadul Muslimeen 1, Independent 1, Total 215.BJP and Laloo Prasad's Rashtriya Janata Dal are going to upstage Nitish Kumar's JD-U in Bihar with BJP and RJD projected to win 21 and 12 seats respectively relegating Janata Dal United to only 5 seats. BJP is going to make a big comeback in Uttar Pradesh. It is projected to win 34 seats (up from 10 in 2009), followed by BSP 21, SP 20, Congress 4 and Ajit Singh's Rastriya Lok Dal 1. Asked who would you prefer to elect as Prime Minister between Rahul Gandhi and Narendra Modi, a whopping 59.1 per cent opted for Modi, while 26.7 per cent opted for Rahul Gandhi. Asked which alliance would you like to form the next government, 47.2 per cent preferred NDA, 35.1 per cent preferred UPA, and only 3.7 pc preferred the nascent Third Front, with the remaining who said, don't know. Delhi's ruling Aam Aadmi Party is projected to get seven seats, three from Delhi, and one each from Haryana, Maharashtra, Karnataka and one union territory.Following is the state-wise break of projected seats tally : Gujarat: BJP 22, Congress 4 Total 26Andhra Pradesh: YSR Congress 13, TDP 10, Congress 6, BJP 2, TRS 10 Total 42Tamil Nadu: DMK 5, AIDMK 27, Congress 1, Others 6 Total 39Bihar: BJP 21, RJD 12, JD-U 5, LJP 1, Congress 1, Total 40 Chhattisgarh: BJP 8, Congress 3 Total 11Haryana: BJP 6, Congress 1 (down from 9), INLD 1, Haryana Janhit Cong 1, AAP 1 Total 10.Madhya Pradesh: BJP 24, Congress 5 Total 29 Maharashtra: Shiv Sena 15, BJP 15, Congress 8, NCP 5, RPI (Athawale) 2, MNS 1, Swabhimana Paksha 1, AAP 1 Total 48Rajasthan: BJP 21, Congress 4 Total 25 Uttar Pradesh: BJP 34 (up from 10), Samajwadi Party 20 (down from 23), BSP 21 (up from 20), Congress 4, RLD 1. Total 80West Bengal : Trinamool Congress 24, Left Front 14, Congress 2, BJP 1, Others 1. Total 42Delhi: BJP 4, AAP 3, Congress 0. Total 7 Arunachal Pradesh: Congress 1, BJP 1. Total 2 Assam : Congress 7, BJP 5, AUDF 1, BPF 1, Total 14Goa : BJP 1 , Congress 1, total 2Himachal Pradesh: BJP 3, Congress 1 Total 4Jammu and Kashmir : BJP 2, PDP 2, National Conference 1, Congress 1 Total 6. Jharkhand : BJP 8, JMM 2, JVM 2, Congress 1, Independent 1 Total 14 Karnataka : BJP 11, Congress 14, JD-S 2, AAP 1 Total 28Kerala : Left Front 9, Congress 7, BJP 1, IUML 2, Kerala Congress (Mani) 1. Total 20Manipur : Congress 1, Others 1 Total 2 Meghalaya: Congress 1, NPP 1 Total 2 Mizoram : Congress 1 Total 1 Nagaland : NPF 1 Total 1 Odisha : Biju Janata Dal 12, Congress 7, BJP 2 Total 21 Punjab: Congress 6, Shiromani Akali Dal 5, BJP 2. total 13 Sikkim : Sikkim Democratic Front 1 , Total 1 Tripura: CPI-M 2 Total 2 Uttarakhand: BJP 5, Congress 9. Total 5Union Territories : BJP 3, Congress 1, Others 1, AAP 1.