An AAP win in Delhi will change the course of Indian politics

New Delhi: All pre-poll surveys have indicated that Arvind Kejriwal is all set to emerge as a major force in Delhi elections. Arvind Kejriwal and his party's growing popularity has forced even Delhi Chief Minister Sheila Dikshit to say that she can't rule out a post-poll alliance with Kejriwal led AAP.AAP claims that it will get a majority on its own in the Delhi elections and it has tried to substantiate its claims through its own internal pre-poll surveys conducted under supervision of renowned psephologist Yogendra Yadav who is now part of the core team of Kejriwal.Questioning the veracity of other pre-poll surveys, Yogendra Yadav recently said that even in the past, pre-poll surveys have failed to gauge the mood of electorate especially in case of N T Ramarao's victory in Andhra Pradesh in 1983 and Chaudhary Devi Lal's victory in Haryana in 1987.What if Kejriwal led AAP really comes out as a surprise winner in Delhi assembly elections and Arvind Kejriwal becomes the Chief Minister of Delhi?An AAP victory will definitely change the course of Indian politics as it will underline the fact that elections can be won with honesty, sincerity, transparency and sheer determination to serve the people.It will showcase how one person can change the entire political equation just because he tried honestly to connect with the common man and took up the issues that affected them directly like water, electricity and inflation.Now the question is – will Kejriwal become a force at the national level if he wins Delhi polls? One thing is for sure- Kejriwal will set an example for others and people from other states will feel more attracted towards Kejriwal and his party and may look upon AAP as an alternative in their respective states.But things will not be that easy for AAP. Replicating Delhi success in other states will be a tough task for Kejriwal and his politburo. Delhi is a small city state with 70 assembly constituencies only. The party largely relied on the personal appeal and charisma of Kejriwal in Delhi. AAP had put all its resources and energy in one state to achieve its target. But bigger states like UP and Bihar are a different ball game altogether. First, AAP has no organizational structure in these states and more importantly there is no Arvind Kejriwal like face in these states.On top of everything, these states are still governed by caste politics. How will Kejriwal and his party cope with this primitive mindset of people in these states? Delhites are comparatively more educated, aware and live in a modern society but the great, unwashed electorate in the Hindi hinterland is entirely different from the Delhi crowd.Whatever be the case, an AAP victory in Delhi elections will be a shocker to run-of-the-mill politicians and political parties of India. It will atleast force them to start connecting with the real issues of common man and stop playing emotional cards of caste, creed, religion and dynastic loyalties.