Washington, Sept 15: America's new intelligence chief David Petraeus has predicted that al-Qaida leaders may flee Afghanistan and the entire south Asia as they were being pressed hard by American forces.
In his first week on the new job as the CIA chief, Petraeus said that within 18-24 months, the core of the al-Qaida could be degraded to the point that the group will fragment and exist mostly as a propaganda arm.
Making his first Congressional appearance as a civilian at the rare joint hearing by the Joint Intelligence Committee of the House and Senate, the former American military commander in Afghanistan said, “Heavy losses to al-Qaida's senior leadership appears to have created an important window of vulnerability for the core of the grouping in Pakistan and Afghanistan.”
He told the Congressional Committee that US will need a “sustained, focused effort” to exploit the opportunity.
The CIA chief said that eight of the al-Qaida's top 20 leaders were killed this year alone, chief among them been their supremo Osama bin Laden. Al-Qaida leaders may even flee Afghanistan or leave south Asia altogether to escape the CIA, which has quadrupled the covert drone strikes against militant groups based in Pakistan's restive tribal region bordering Afghanistan.
Petraeus called bin Laden's long time deputy and successor Ayman al Zawahiri a “less compelling” leader who will have more difficulty than bin Laden in “maintaining the group's cohesion and its collective motivation in the face of continued pressure.”
He called al-Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula, a Yemenbased affiliate, the most dangerous of al-Qaida's various “nodes”, citing the group's two nearly successful attacks on the United States: the December 2009 attempt to blow up a Northwest airliner as it approached Detroit and the cargo bomb plot of 2010.
Petraeus labelled Somalia “one of the world's most significant havens for terrorists,” saying Al-Shabaab, an al-Qaida affiliate, is large and well-financed and is training hundreds of foreign fighters, including Americans. PTI
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