New Delhi: Prime Minister Narendra Modi-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) may win 378 out of 543 Lok Sabha seats if elections are held now, said India TV-CNX Opinion Poll on Tuesday (March 5). The opposition Congress-led I.N.D.I.A. bloc (minus Trinamool Congress) may win 98 seats, while others including the Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress (TMC), the Jagan Mohan Reddy's YSRCP, the TDP led by Chandrababu Naidu, Naveen Patnaik's BJD and independents may get the remaining 67 seats, said the survey.
Details of the opinion poll were telecast on the news channel today. The opinion poll was conducted in all 543 constituencies between February 5 and 23, and the total number of respondents was 1,62,900. These include 84,350 males and 78,550 females.
The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) may win 335 seats on its own, according to the survey. It is going to make a clean sweep of all 26 seats in Gujarat, all 29 seats in Madhya Pradesh, all 25 seats in Rajasthan, all 10 seats in Haryana, all seven seats in Delhi, all 5 seats in Uttarakhand and all 4 seats in Himachal Pradesh, according to the opinion poll.
The most spectacular win is going to be in Uttar Pradesh, where the BJP may win 74 seats, and its alliance partners Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD) and Apna Dal may win two seats each, out of a total of 80 seats, leaving the remaining two for the Akhilesh Yadav's Samajwadi Party (SP). Congress and Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) may draw a blank in UP.
Other states where the BJP is going to make remarkable wins are Bihar (17 out of 40), Jharkhand (12 out of 14), Karnataka (22 out of 28), Maharashtra (25 out of 48), Odisha (10 out of 21), Assam (10 out of 14) and West Bengal (20 out of 42).
Among regional parties, the Trinamool Congress may win 21 seats in West Bengal, the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) may win 20 seats in Tamil Nadu, the YSRCP may win 15 and the TDP may win 10 seats in Andhra Pradesh and the BJD may win 10 out of 21 seats in Odisha.
State-wise break-up of India TV-CNX poll projections:
- Andhra Pradesh: Total 25 (YSRCP 15 and TDP 10)
- Arunachal Pradesh: Total 2 (BJP 2)
- Assam: Total 14 (BJP 10, AGP 1, UPPL 1, Congress 1, AIUDF 1)
- Bihar: Total 40 (BJP 17, JD-U 12, RJD 4, LJP(R) 3, RLJP 1, HAM 1, RLM 1, Congress 1)
- Chhattisgarh: Total 11 (BJP 10, Congress 1)
- Goa: Total 2 (BJP 2)
- Gujarat: Total 26 (BJP 26)
- Haryana: Total 10 (BJP 10)
- Himachal Pradesh: Total 4 (BJP 4)
- Jharkhand: Total 14 (BJP 12, AJSU 1, JMM 1)
- Karnataka: Total 28 (BJP 22, JD-S 2, Congress 4)
- Kerala: Total 20 (UDF 11, LDF 6, BJP 3) – Breakup – Congress -7, CPI-M 4, BJP 3, CPI 1, KC-M 1, IUML 2, RSP 1, Others 1.
- Madhya Pradesh: Total 29 (BJP 29)
- Maharashtra: Total 48 (BJP 25, Shiv Sena-UBT 8, NCP (Ajit) 4, Shiv Sena-Shinde 6, NCP-Sharad 3, Congress 2)
- Manipur: Total 2 (BJP 1, Congress 1)
- Meghalaya: Total 2 (NPP 2)
- Mizoram: Total 1 (ZPM 1)
- Nagaland: Total 1 (NDPP 1)
- Odisha: Total 21 (BJD 11, BJP 10)
- Punjab: Total 13 (AAP 6, Congress 3, BJP 3, SAD 1)
- Rajasthan: Total 25 (BJP 25)
- Sikkim: Total 1 (SKM 1)
- Tamil Nadu: Total 39 (DMK 20, AIADMK 4, BJP 4, Congress 6, PMK 1, Others 4)
- .Telangana: Total 17 (Congress 9, BJP 5, BRS 2, AIMIM 1)
- Tripura: Total 2 (BJP 2)
- Uttar Pradesh: Total 80 (BJP 74, Apna Dal 2, RLD 2, SP 2)
- Uttarakhand: Total 5 (BJP 5)
- West Bengal: Total 42 (Trinamool Congress 21, BJP 20, Congress 1)
- Andaman Nicobar: Total 1 (BJP 1)
- Chandigarh: Total 1 (BJP 1)
- Dadra Nagar Haveli, Daman and Diu: Total 2 (BJP 2)
- Jammu and Kashmir: Total 5 (BJP 2, JKNC 3)
- Ladakh: Total 1 (BJP 1)
- Lakshadweep: Total 1 (Congress 1)
- Delhi: Total 7 (BJP 7)
- Puducherry: Total 1 (BJP 1)
- Total: (543 seats): (NDA 378, I.N.D.I.A. 98, Others including TMC 67)
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