Desh Ki Awaaz survey: Which states will the BJP emerge victorious in if LS polls are held today | Highlights

NCP may win 44 seats, Uddhav Thackeray-led Shiv Sena may win 18 seats, Congress may win 38 seats and Others 13.

Voting percentage in opinion poll:

In the 288-seat Maharashtra Assembly, BJP may emerge as the largest party again with 134 seats, while its ally Eknath Shinde-led Shiv Sena may win 41 seats, meaning that the alliance can win a comfortable majority.

48% of the voters believe that the Sena crack benefitted Devendra Fadnavis. 21% agreed that it beneffited Sharad Pawar. Ashok Chouhan 17% and Raj Thackeray 14%. 

58% of voters who voiced their opinions on the Maharashtra political crisis said that Uddhav Thackeray is still the actual Shiv Sena leader. 44% agreed that Shinde is. 

If the assembly elections are held in Jharkhand today, the BJP is expected to get around 52 seats. 

• BJP - 44 %
• Congress - 41 %

Asked about their first choice for CM candidate, 38 per cent preferred the current CM Shivraj Singh Chouhan, while 31 pc opted for Congress leader Kamal Nath.

In the 230-seat Madhya Pradesh Assembly, BJP is set to retain power winning 119 seats, while Congress may win 98 seats and Others 13 seats. In the 2018 elections, BJP had won 109 seats, Congress had won 114 and Others had won seven seats.

In the total 81 seats, if elections take place today, JMM is likely to get 16 seats. The BJP will get 52, Congress 4 and others will get 9, according to the poll survey results.

In 403-seat UP assembly, if elections are held now, Yogi Adityanath-led BJP may win 292 seats, Samajwadi Party may win 94 seats, Congress one and Others 16 seats. 

• Mamata Banerjee (TMC) - 46%
• Suvendu Adhikari (BJP) - 24%
• Dilip Ghosh (BJP) - 20%

• TMC may win 173 seats
• BJP may win 112 seats
• Congress - 2
• Left - 2
• Others - five 

Voting percentage:

TMC - 46%

BJP - 41%

In last year’s elections, TMC had won 213 seats, BJP had won 77, Others four. Congress and Left did not win a single seat.

In the 294-seat West Bengal Assembly, Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee had stormed to power last year, but if elections are held now, her party Trinamool Congress may retain power with reduced majority. 

Seats:

Chief Minister Nitish Kumar’s Janata Dal(United) may win 38 seats and Congress may get 11 seats. LJP may win one seat. Others may win 29 seats. 

Voting percentage:

RJD - 26.3%

BJP - 23.6 %,

JD-U - 13.6 %

Congress - 7.2 %

In 243-seat Bihar assembly, if elections are held now, Rashtriya Janata Dal may get 83 seats and BJP may win 81 seats. 

Asked in whose name will you cast your vote, 33 per cent said “for Modi”, 24 pc said “for the candidate with the best image”.

Asked about the best face for CM, most people voted for a 'new face' as CM 

• BJP's Bhupendra Patel - 22 %
• BJP's Purushottam Rupala - 16 %
• Congress' Shaktisinh Gohil - 9 %
• Other face - 69 %

Asked whether BJP should project a CM candidate before the elections, 38 per cent said ‘No’, 36 per cent said ‘BJP should declare a new face’, and 22 per cent said “the present CM”.

In the 2017 assembly elections, BJP had won 99 seats, Congress had won 77 seats, and Other six seats. The assembly elections are due in December this year.

• BJP - 48% 
• Congress - 33%
• AAP- 16%

In the 182-seat Gujarat assembly, BJP is going to retain power by winning 108 seats, Congress may win 55 seats, AAP may win eight seats and Others including independents may win 11 seats. 

Chief Minister Jairam Thakur leads the popular choice for CM.

• Jairam Thakur - 26%
• Congress' Pratibha Singh - 21% 
• Congress' Asha Kumari - 17%
• Union Minister Anurag Thakur - 17% 

BJP may retain power in Himachal Pradesh which goes to assembly polls later this year. According to the opinion poll, BJP is projected to win 47 seats, Congress may win 17 seats, AAP one seat and Others three.

Final votes for who people want as the Punjab CM:

• Bhagwant Mann (AAP): 40%
• Sukhbir Singh Badal (SAD): 19%
• Charanjit Singh Channi (Congress): 16%
• Ashwani Sharma (BJP): 15%
• Other: 10%

If elections are held now in Punjab, Aam Aadmi Party may retain power but with a reduced majority. In the 117-seat assembly, AAP may win 72 seats, BJP 16 seats, Akali Dal 11 seats, Congress 9 and other nine seats. In this year’s assembly polls, AAP had won 92 seats, Congress 18, Akali Dal 3, BJP 2, and Others 2 seats.

Asked whether you want to change the present government, 46 per cent said ‘No’, 41 per cent said ‘Yes’. Asked how is AAP government’s performance, 32 pc said they were not happy, 31 pc said they were happy, 24 pc said, AAP did what they promised, 13 pc said, they made a mistake (galti ho gayi).

India TV poll results:

• Congress' Bhupesh Baghel - 24%
• BJP chief Vishnudeo Sai - 29%
• Raman Singh - 14%
• TS Singh Deo - 11%

38 per cent of respondents said they would vote in the name of Modi, while 22 pc opted for Chief Minister Bhupesh Baghel. Among the choices for CM, 29 pc said they would support State BJP chief Vishnudeo Sai, 24 pc opted for Bhupesh Baghel and 14 pc for ex-CM Raman Singh.

In the 90-seat Chhattisgarh assembly BJP may fall short of majority as it is projected to win 48 seats, while the ruling Congress party may win 40 seats. Others may win 2 seats and could become the deciding factor. It may become a close contest.  In the 2018 elections, Congress had won 68, BJP had won 15 and Others had won 7 seats. Voting percentage in opinion poll: Congress 40 pc and BJP 43 pc.

According to nationwide opinion poll by India TV-Matrize News Communication, 23 per cent of people feel Rahul Gandhi still can be a tough opponent to the PM. Closely followed by Arvind Kejriwal (19%), and Mamata Banerjee (11%). READ

According to a survey by India TV-Matterize, if Lok Sabha elections are held today, Prime Minister Narendra Modi-led NDA alliance in Uttar Pradesh will get 52 per cent votes as against 50 per cent in 2019. At the same time, 21 percent of votes can be achieved by Akhilesh Yadav, whereas in 2019, 18 percent votes were got by him. READ
 

When citizens were asked about their first choice for Prime Minister choice during the survey, 48% said they would want to see Narendra Modi again as PM. Modi was followed by Rahul Gandhi with 11%, Mamata Banerjee 8%, Sonia Gandhi 7%, Mayawati 6%, Sharad Pawar 6 %, and Arvind Kejriwal 5 %, Nitish Kumar 4 %, K Chandrashekhar Rao 3 % and Priyanka Vadra with 2 %. READ
 

During the survey, when the people of Rajasthan were asked who would they vote for if they are asked to vote in the state assembly elections today, 28 percent of the voters took current CM Ashok Gehlot's side. However, when people were asked what would they do if they are asked to vote in the name of Modi, 48% stood by the PM's name.  11 percent people, however, said they would vote in the name of former Chief Minister and BJP leader Vasundhara Raje, while 19 percent voters said that they would vote in the name of development.

When asked whether the Kanhaiyalal murder case of Udaipur would have an impact in the Rajasthan assembly elections, 69 per cent people answered yes. At the same time, 23 percent people believed that this work will have no effect in the Rajasthan elections. 8 per cent of the people were not in a position to say anything.

In Rajasthan, 57% people think BJP can come to power. 28% want present CM Ashok Gehlot to be the CM again 

As far as seats translation is concerned, BJP is expected to get 148 seats, Congress can get 42 and other will bag 10 if elections are held today

Today we will show you the picture of assembly elections in 11 states. There are some of these states where elections are going to be held in the next two years.