Bihar Lok Sabha Election 2024 Exit Poll Results: The eastern state of Bihar voted in all seven phases of the Lok Sabha elections 2024. The state has 40 parliamentary seats. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), the Janata Dal United, the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) and the Congress are the main parties in the state. The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in Bihar comprise five parties: BJP, JD(U), Lok Janshakti Party (LJP)-Ram Vilas, Hindustani Awam Morcha (HAM), and Rashtriya Lok Morcha (RLM). Meanwhile, the Opposition bloc I.N.D.I.A consist of RJD, Congress, and Left parties including Communist Party of India (CPI), Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist) Liberation-CPIML (Liberation) and Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPIM).
India TV-CNX projection for Bihar
According to India TV-CNX Exit Poll prediction, the Bharatiya Janata Party is likely to get 17 seats, while its ally JD(U) is likely to get 11-13 seats. BJP's other allies, LJP(RV) AND HAM may get 3-4 seats and one seat respectively. Meanwhile, the Rashtriya Janata Dal is also likely to get 3-5 seats and its ally Congress may have to settle with one seat.
Here's the Exit Poll prediction for all 40 seats in Bihar:
NDA:
BJP: 17-17
JDU: 11-13
LJP(RV): 3-4
HAM: 1-1
INDIA bloc:
RJD: 3-5
Congress: 2-2
Others: 1-1
Bihar: A recap of 2019, 2014 Lok Sabha Elections
The 2019 Lok Sabha elections were held in Bihar in seven phases between April 11 and 23. In the elections, BJP won 17 seats, JD(U) won 16 seats, LJP won six seats and the Congress party had to settle with only one seat. In 2014, the BJP, Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) and RLSP had contested 30, seven and three seats of the 40 Lok Sabha seats in Bihar. The BJP-led NDA won 31 seats (BJP won 22 seats, the LJP six and RLSP three seats).
What are Exit Polls?
Exit polls are quick surveys conducted immediately after people vote, in an attempt to gauge the sentiments of voters following the exercise of their right to vote. Unlike regular opinion polls done before elections, exit polls ask voters who they actually voted for, making them more accurate. They typically start being released right after voting ends on final election day and are conducted by interviewing voters as they leave polling stations. In India, exit polls were almost developed indigenously by the pioneering Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) in Delhi during the 1960s.
Why are Exit Polls important?
Exit polls are important for several reasons. Firstly, they provide an early indication of election results before the official count is completed. Media outlets use this information to inform their audience about potential outcomes, generating significant public interest. Additionally, exit polls can also influence stock markets as well as the political discourse in the country. It is important to interpret Exit Polls with caution, as they can be affected by sampling errors, biases, and differences in voter demographics. While they provide useful insights and help set expectations, they should not be viewed as definitive predictors of election outcomes.
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